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What Effect Will The War In Iran and Higher Oil Prices Have on the Calgary & Area Real Estate Market ?

MOST RELEVANT IMPACTS

Higher oil prices → STRONGER Alberta economy (positive for real estate)

  • Oil prices have risen significantly due to the conflict, boosting revenues in Alberta
  • More oil revenue → more jobs, investment, and migration into Calgary
  • Historically, higher oil = higher housing demand & price growth

👉 Net effect: Upward pressure on home prices & sales activity

BOTTOM LINE (Simple Takeaway)

  • Short-term (now):
    👉 Positive for Calgary real estate (driven by oil boom)
  • Medium-term:
    👉 Mixed — affordability & rates vs economic strength
  • Long-term:
    👉 Depends on how long the war and inflation persist

A Strategic Approach to Buying & Selling Luxury Homes in Calgary and Beyond.


  • The luxury home market operates differently.
    Whether in Calgary’s premier communities or in high end markets outside Alberta, success at the $2M+ level requires precision, discretion, and strategy not volume marketing.
    Here is the framework I use with luxury buyers and sellers.

    For Luxury Sellers: Protecting Value & Positioning Strategically
    1. Price as a Strategy Not an Emotion
    In the luxury segment, overpricing doesn’t “leave room to negotiate.”
    It isolates your property from qualified buyers and can quietly damage perceived value.
    Strategic pricing:
    Is based on global buyer behaviour, not just local comparables
    Considers inventory depth in similar price tiers
    Accounts for cross-market competition (Vancouver, Toronto, U.S. migration trends)
    Luxury buyers are sophisticated. They recognize inflated pricing immediately.

    2. Presentation Must Match the Price Point
    At $2M+, presentation is not cosmetic — it is positioning.
    That includes:
    Elevated staging or design consultation
    Professional architectural photography & video
    Refined digital marketing
    Narrative driven property descriptions
    Luxury buyers don’t just buy square footage.
    They buy lifestyle, privacy, and identity.


    3. Discretion & Access Control
    High end sellers often prioritize privacy over exposure.
    A strategic approach may include:
    Private networks and off market introductions
    Targeted agent-to-agent outreach
    Controlled showing protocols
    Pre-qualified buyer access only
    The goal isn’t traffic ,it’s qualified traffic.

    For Luxury Buyers: Acquiring with Precision
    1. Access Before Competition
    In luxury markets, the best opportunities are often:
    Quiet listings
    Network driven opportunities
    Properties introduced before public launch
    Buyers who rely only on MLS alerts are often behind.
    Strategic representation means:
    Access to private inventory
    Relationships across markets
    Early insight into seller motivation

    2. Market Context Beyond Calgary
    Luxury buyers today are often mobile.
    When evaluating Calgary versus other markets, we consider:
    Relative value per square foot
    Tax environment
    Long-term infrastructure development
    Migration and economic trends
    Liquidity at resale
    An informed purchase looks at lifestyle and long term asset performance.

    3. Negotiation at the High End Is Different
    Luxury transactions are rarely just about price.
    They often involve:
    Complex conditions
    Custom inclusions
    Timelines tied to other properties or jurisdictions
    Confidentiality considerations
    Strong representation protects not only your capital but your position.

    Inside & Outside Calgary: The Common Thread
    Whether buying or selling in:
    Mount Royal
    Elbow Park
    Britannia
    Springbank
    Or luxury markets beyond Alberta
    The fundamentals remain the same:
    Strategic pricing. Elevated presentation. Controlled exposure. Qualified negotiation.
    Luxury real estate is not transactional.
    It is advisory.

    Final Thought
    In the luxury market, mistakes are costly and opportunities are nuanced.
    The difference between a good result and an exceptional one often comes down to strategy, positioning, and professional execution.
    If you’re considering buying or selling a luxury property in Calgary or beyond, the first step is a private strategic conversation.

What we should know about RADON GAS!

1) What is Radon

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4

Radon is a naturally occurring radioactive gas produced by the breakdown of uranium in soil and rock.
It:

  • Is colourless, odourless, and tasteless
  • Enters homes through foundation cracks, slab joints, sump pits, and service penetrations
  • Accumulates in lower levels (basements are highest risk)

Radon is the #1 cause of lung cancer among non-smokers in Canada.

2) Calgary Is a High Radon Area

Health Canada classifies much of Alberta — including Calgary — as high radon potential.

Key facts:

  • Roughly 1 in 6 homes in Alberta test above the recommended limit.
  • Radon levels vary house to house, even on the same street.
  • Newer homes are not immune.

There is no “safe” neighbourhood assumption.


3) Acceptable Levels in Canada

According to Health Canada:

  • Guideline level: 200 Bq/m³
  • If above 200 Bq/m³ → mitigation recommended
  • If above 600 Bq/m³ → urgent action

Testing must be:

  • Long-term (minimum 3 months)
  • Done during heating season (Oct–April ideal)

Short-term tests (48 hours) are less reliable.

The Digital Radon Detector that I use in my home can be purchased here .

https://www.airthings.com/en-ca/products/corentium-home-2-ca

Calgary & Area Market Update for January -2026

Calgary recorded 1,234 home sales in January 2026, down 15% from last year but consistent with typical seasonal activity. Sales declined across all property types, with the sharpest pullback in higher density homes such as apartments and row housing. Increased supply and greater buyer choice reduced urgency, while sellers moved quickly to list properties, pushing the sales to new listings ratio down to 44%. These conditions are not unusual for January, as both buyers and sellers tend to pause before the spring market.

Rising new listings lifted inventory to 4,391 units the highest January level since 2020 with the greatest buildup in row and apartment homes. Months of supply now range from under three months for detached homes to about five months for apartments. Benchmark prices remain below early 2025 levels, though seasonally adjusted data shows stability since the end of last year. Overall residential benchmark prices are down nearly 5% year over year, largely due to price declines in the oversupplied higherdensity segments.

What do I see hapenning in the next few months as we move into the spring market .

As always in a balanced market location , condition of the home, & well priced homes matter more than market timing.

The best preforming communities will be the ones that offer lifestyle, connivence & long term value , not speculation

The weaker segments of the market will be :

-Overpriced Luxury Homes

Older condos with high condo fees.

Remote & unimproved acreage homes with unpaved access.

Luxury& Executive Homes ($900-1.5m) Best Performers for -2026

Springbank Hill (SW Calgary) – Top luxury demand inside the city.

Discovery Ridge (SW) – Limited supply, natural setting with the Griffin Woods Area.

Aspen Woods ( SW) Proven Luxury strong resale value .

Upper Mount Royal / Elbow Park ( Inner City) Lifestyle Buyers, 2026 Luxury Trend:

Buyers were selective in 2025 ,but quality homes still sold .

Overpriced Luxury Homes still sat on the market longer in 2025 .

Premium lots+ views+renovations= strong sales results.

Calgary & Area Best Preforming Communities in 2026

Been as we are in the first month of 2026 I thought I would expand into what I believe will be the best preforming communities in the City and surrounding areas.

Entry Level & first time buyer range , ( $400-600 Detached / $300-450 Attached & Condos )

  • Queensland (SE) – Affordable detached homes , with a strong buyer depth, well established , larger lots great family community , should see a turnover of Baby Boomer generation homes in this community as well
  • -McKenzie Towne(SE) walkability+ amenities = steady demand , should see a turnover in the move-up in the mainly teenage kid family homes
  • Evanston (NW) newer homes , good value vs inner city homes with a longer commute , young family community
  • Coventry Hills (NE) -strong resale for entry level detached another community that should have a large turnover of Baby Boomer homes as well.
  • Legacy (SE) newer builds , popular with first time buyers
  • Why will these preform well in 2026 ?
  • Limited affordability detached inventory city wide.
  • Strong demand for first time buyers & young families
  • Homes that are priced right sell quickly even in a balanced market

TOP 10 BEST-PERFORMING COMMUNITIES (OVERALL)-2026

📈 Top 10 Best Performing Calgary Communities (2026 Outlook)

  1. Beltline – Highest sales volume in Calgary (strong demand, especially condos/urban living).
  2. Mahogany – Lake community with high demand and steady pricing; strong family appeal.
  3. Cranston – Consistently strong sales with good resale value and lifestyle amenities.
  4. Auburn Bay – Popular southeast area with lake access and consistent demand.
  5. McKenzie Towne – Well-liked for character, community feel and solid transaction activity.
  6. Scenic Acres – One of the fastest-selling neighbourhoods recently (low days on market).
  7. Renfrew – Central location, strong demand with quick sales.
  8. Evanston – Strong sales activity and fast market movement in NW Calgary.
  9. Bridgeland (Riverside) – Inner-city area with good investment appeal and pricing stability.
  10. Aspen Woods / Springbank Hill – Popular West Calgary communities noted for steady demand and limited supply.

🧠 Honourable Mentions / Emerging Performers

These aren’t top 10 by all metrics yet but show strong trends for growth or demand:

  • Altadore & Killarney – Inner-city infill markets with strong lifestyle draw.
  • Greenwood-Greenbriar / Penbrooke Meadows / Abbeydale – Rapid price growth areas with affordability appeal.
  • Seton & Cornerstone – Fast moving newer communities in the Southeast & NE.
  • Brentwood / Tuscany & NW Suburbs – Steady pricing and family-oriented demand.

📊 Why These Communities Stand Out

Sales Volume & Turnover
Areas like Beltline, Mahogany, and Cranston rank high because they regularly lead in transactions and absorption — meaning buyers are active there.

Speed of Sales
Communities with low days on market like Scenic Acres and Renfrew suggest strong demand and competitive pricing.

Price Stability / Growth
Northwest and West Calgary communities, plus lifestyle-oriented inner-city areas, have shown resilience or growth in price benchmarks.

Lifestyle & Development Trends
Lake communities, suburban nodes near amenities, and inner-city infill hotspots combine lifestyle appeal with investment potential — a key performance driver.


📌 Bottom Line for 2026

While full official CREB 2026 data isn’t yet released, ongoing trends from late 2025 strongly point to a mix of urban, suburban, and emerging growth communities dominating performance in 2026. Demand is broad — from walkable inner-city pockets to established family-oriented suburbs — driven by factors such as location, lifestyle amenities, school access, and market fundamentals.

CALGARY REAL ESTATE MARKET IN REVIEW FOR -2025

Calgary Housing Market – 2025 Year in Review (Summary)

  • Market Shift: After several years of strong price growth, 2025 marked a transition to more balanced market conditions as rising supply met easing demand.
  • Sales Activity: Total residential sales reached 22,751 units, down 16% year-over-year, but remained in line with long-term averages.
  • Supply Growth: Over 40,000 new listings entered the market, up 9% from 2024, driven by record-high housing starts. This increase in inventory reduced seller-favourable conditions.
  • Demand Moderation: Slower migration and heightened economic uncertainty, particularly in the spring, reduced demand pressures.
  • Price Trends:
    • Overall benchmark price averaged $577,492, down 2% year-over-year.
    • Detached homes: +1%
    • Semi-detached homes: +3%
    • Apartment condominiums: −3%
    • Row homes: −2%
  • Property-Type Divergence: Strong supply growth in apartments and row homes weighed on prices, offsetting gains in detached and semi-detached segments.
  • Regional Variation: The North East saw the largest price declines, partly reflecting improved supply and partly following the strongest price growth in the prior two years.
  • Outlook: Improved inventory levels heading into 2026 mark the first such improvement in three years. CREB®’s 2026 market outlook will be released at the Forecast Conference on January 20, 2026.

CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY BALANCED AS WE HEAD INTO THE WINTER MONTHS

📊 MARKET OVERVIEW — NOVEMBER 2025

❄️ Conditions remain relatively balanced as we head into the winter months

Calgary, Alberta — Dec. 1, 2025
In line with typical seasonal patterns, sales, new listings, and inventory slowed compared to October. November recorded 1,553 sales and 2,251 new listings, resulting in a 69% sales-to-new-listings ratio. Inventory reached 5,581 units, sitting 28% higher than last year and 15% above typical November levels.

“Supply levels have been sitting higher than typical levels for the past three months, mostly due to gains in the higher-density sectors of row and apartment-style units,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB® Chief Economist. “While buyer’s market conditions are more prevalent for apartment and row homes, detached and semi-detached segments remain relatively balanced.”

📌 Extra supply—across resale, new construction, and rental—is impacting higher-density markets most.

🔻 Price Trends (Year-over-Year)

  • 🏢 Apartment:7%
  • 🏘️ Row:6%
  • 🏡 Detached:2%
  • 📉 Total combined benchmark: $559,000 (↓ nearly 5%)

Note: Benchmark property attributes are reviewed annually. Updates are complete, but historical PDFs are not adjusted.


🏡 DETACHED

Demand held steady with 823 sales, similar to last year. Inventory dipped month-over-month but remains above 2024 and close to long-term norms.

  • 📦 Months of supply: ~3 (balanced)
  • 💲 Benchmark price: $733,000 (↓ ~2% YoY)
  • 📈 YTD prices:1%
    ➡️ Greatest downward pressure in North East, North, and East districts due to strong new-build competition.

🏘️ SEMI-DETACHED

Sales remained consistent with last year and above long-term trends. New listings surged, pushing inventory to the highest November level in five years.

  • 📦 Months of supply: Slightly above 3 (balanced)
  • 💲 Benchmark price: $671,700 (down from last month, flat YoY)
  • 📈 YTD growth: ~3%
  • 🌆 Strongest gains: City Centre (+4%)
  • 👇 Offset by a 1% dip in the North.

🏙️ ROW HOMES

Sales eased to 257, still above long-term norms. Inventory is at its highest November level since 2018.

  • 💲 Benchmark price: $424,400
  • 🔻 Down month-over-month & ↓ 6% YoY
  • 📉 YTD: ~2% decline

🏢 APARTMENT CONDOMINIUMS

This segment faces the strongest supply pressure. While sales aligned with historical averages, new listings drove inventory to a record-high for November.

  • 📦 Months of supply: ~6 (buyer’s market)
  • 💲 Benchmark price: $309,300 (↓ 7% YoY)
  • 📉 YTD decline: ~2%
  • 🔻 Biggest drop: North East (-5%)
  • ➖ West district: No change